Federal Government’s Plan for a New Jubbaland and the Rise of Ilyaas Badal Gaboose

By Citizensom.com

Garbahaarey, Somalia – Confidential sources have revealed that the Federal Government of Somalia is working on a strategic plan to establish a new Jubbaland administration headquartered in Garbahaarey. This initiative is part of a broader political move to replace the current leadership under Ahmed Mohamed Islam (Ahmed Madoobe) with a new leadership aligned with the federal government.

The plan includes the organization of a high-level political convention in Garbahaarey in the coming weeks, which will bring together federal government officials and key political figures from the Jubbaland region. The main objective is to install a new Jubbaland leadership that operates under the influence and guidance of the central government.

Ilyaas Badal Gaboose – The Likely Presidential Candidate

One name that has emerged at the center of this political reshuffle is Ilyaas Badal Gaboose. Reports suggest he is being prepared to become the new president of the proposed Jubbaland administration. Gaboose, who hails from the same sub-clan as Ahmed Madoobe, is seen as a strategic choice to neutralize clan-based resistance. He is believed to have been under house arrest in Kismayo for some time but is now either in Mogadishu or en route there to begin his new political role.

Federal Government’s Motivation

The move reflects a clear intention by the federal government to consolidate control in southern Somalia by establishing a parallel administration in Jubbaland. The federal leadership has long been at odds with Ahmed Madoobe, citing disagreements over governance, resource sharing, and political allegiance.

This effort may also be intended to gain political leverage ahead of future national elections, particularly by positioning an ally in a key regional leadership role.

Is the Plan Feasible?

While the plan is ambitious, several questions remain:

• Can a new Jubbaland administration truly be established in Garbahaarey while Ahmed Madoobe still controls Kismayo?

• Will the local communities in Gedo, especially those who oppose Ahmed Madoobe, support this move?

• How will the international community respond to this attempt to reshape Jubbaland’s leadership?

Conclusion

All indications suggest that the federal government is serious about launching a new political chapter in Jubbaland. If successful, Garbahaarey could become the capital of a restructured administration, with Ilyaas Badal Gaboose at its helm. His political future — and that of the region — now hinges on how this complex strategy unfolds in the coming weeks.